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Real Estate Home Valuation Tool Information for Ann Arbor and Surrounding Communities

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

Looking for the Value of your Home in Michigan?

Try this Michigan Real Estate Home valuation tool to get a more accurate idea of your homes current worth that has proven to be more accurate than Zillow's Zestimate feature for instance for the tax assessor SEV or taxable value information. 

Go to www.My Price.guru to view it for yourself and if you put in your contact information, the service will send you quarterly valuation reports as well if you want.  Of course the most accurate way of getting a market report would be to drop us an email and we could provide you with a report with comps and even tweak it further with a visit to your home.  

Let us know if you have any questions or are looking to transition into another home or condo.  Just go to www.RealtyQuest.info for more information and to get the process started.  

 

 

 

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Real Estate Market Update and Trends for Ann Arbor and Surrounding Areas in Michigan

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

August 2015

The biggest overall trend for 2015 has been the awakening of the listing inventory. Even in Washtenaw, where inventories have been tighter than anywhere else in the state, there has been some relief for buyers, but mainly in the upper price ranges. So far this year has had more Home sales than 2014 and we expect that trend to continue this fall as well. The slow-down in under $250,000 segment this past month is a result of too few homes to buy, not a reduction in buyer demand. You can see that values jumped and “Days on Market” fell as a result of the inventory drop. The rest of the market followed a pattern seen across the rest of Southeast Michigan, with both rising sales and inventories. The bigger than anticipated jump in sales in June and July seems to be a result of buyers jumping in, anticipating a future interest rate increase, as well as reacting to a larger For Sale inventory. August activity, although still strong, has slowed a bit, possibly as a result of what would have been August business being pulled into June and July.

 

We track the number of visitors to our web sites as a way of anticipating future buyer demand. As the chart below shows, activity is equal to last year with a continuing upward trend, confirming that there is still strong buyer interest.

Home values continue to rise, but slowing from the crazy levels of 2013/14. Although not as geographically targeted, Case-Shiller tends to have the best data on true appreciation rates. The chart below shows the year over year value changes for SE Michigan, demonstrating that appreciation still healthy in the 5% range and also reflecting what we are seeing in Washtenaw as well.

Going into the fall, sellers will need to be aware that with inventories rising, home values will not move as much, and in those markets where inventories jumped quite a bit (mainly in the higher priced segments) values may decline for a short period of time until supply and demand balance again. A recent survey of home sellers showed that they have become more optimistic about the value of their home.  The graphic below compares the seller’s opinion of value to their actual appraisal. Up until March of this year, the seller’s guess was less than their appraised value, but since March they have become more optimistic, with that optimism increasing each month. That combination of increasing value optimism by the sellers and an increasing For-Sale inventory is likely to cause many properties to be overpriced this fall and winter.

 Please contact me regarding any of your real estate needs. I am happy to assist you.

 

 

 

 

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Considering Selling your Property?

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

Get Instant Pricing Results - Online !

Thank you for stopping by.  I just wanted to take a moment to let you know that I value you and your good will.  I hope someday we will have the opportunity to work or communicate with each other again, however building life long relationships is what gives me the greatest joy and satisfaction in my career as a Broker/Realtor®.  I don't think of myself as selling real estate, but rather helping people change their lives. 

I would love to mail you a letter of introduction and a printed version of my digital personal brochure containing information about my background etc. while introducing you to my business philosophy.  Just click this link if you want my brochure mailed to you and then anytime you have a moment, perhaps we can chat further.  My objective is to be your Realtor®/Broker long before you actually need one.  I hope that when you have a real estate matter, question or just need a Contractor Discount/referral, you will give me the opportunity to help you with a recommendation or maybe guide you to one of the many resources found on my various websites that are also just waiting to serve you. Try out our new automated website that will provide you with the value of your Home.  Its fast and easy, just go to www.MyPrice.Guru

Even if you aren’t planning to buy or sell a property for years, I want you to feel comfortable calling me if you have any questions about real estate, the care of your property or even community taxes or any realty questions or concerns.

Contact us today if we can help and thanks again for stopping by!

 

Get Instant pricing on your real estate home or property.  Tom Stachler, with Real Estate One provides this free automated website to provide instant results for both a price and results.  Ann Arbor, Saline Real Estate along with Dexter, Chelsea and Ypsilanti home sales results.  

January Realty Market Update Report

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

 

 

Check out this short video about the state of the current Realty market to help maintain a pulse on the industry and your investments.  Sign up for new listings using this link.

Try our new online tool that contains values of your current Home by going to www.MyPrice.guru

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2015 Ann Arbor and Saline Real Estate Market Update

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

FHA Making Homeownership More Accessible and Sustainable?

FHA is reducing annual FHA mortgage insurance premiums by 0.5 percentage points from 1.35 percent to 0.85 percent. This reduction in premiums will produce an average savings of $900 annually for all new FHA borrowers.

More than 800,000 FHA borrowers are projected to take advantage of these lower rates in the first year, saving millions of dollars in total.

Lowered premiums will create opportunities for 250,000 new homeowners to purchase a Home over the next three years. In recent years, many aspiring homeowners have been waiting on the sidelines before Buying a new home. By making mortgages more affordable and helping create further confidence among those wanting to buy a home, the FHA premium reduction will help hundreds of thousands of additional families own a home for the first time.

The new home buying activity and benefits of the cost savings to borrowers will help further strengthen the housing market. An increase in first-time homebuyers and more affordable mortgages will help spur more residential construction and help create new jobs in the housing sector.  FHA will also be starting a automated program for lender underwriters to check appraisers pricing with assigned comps or recent home sale prices to loans.  Appraisers feel this is ridiculous and may create another 7-10 days to the appraisal process.  Look for more on this as the program rolls out.  

Each Year the Market moves Closer to a Sellers Market as Inventory Challenges Arise

There were no dramatic changes for the housing market in November and the first part of December. The median sale price increases in the last 90 days have been modest at under 2%, however the real value increase has been closer to 4%. The difference being that with a slowing upper price market, median values will tend to be lower than the true appreciation rate. The Month's Supply of Inventory (MSI) has been declining, with a small jump in November, a sign that although inventories are rising, demand is still strong. Sold properties have been rising through the fall season, but slowing in November compared to last year. Some of that decline might be weather-related and the fact there was one less business day in November this year. The slower sold pace does reinforce our feeling that the market is settling down to a more normal pace, especially in the over $500,000 segments. With buyers spread out among more listings, many sellers will feel that the market is slower than it really is. 

These charts from the National Association of Realtors focus on some of the underlying economic trends that should translate into a multi-year real estate recovery.

 

Household Net Worth at All-Time High 

 

Most people do not realize how far household net worth has risen from the bottom of the recession, and that it has exceeded the prior 2007 peak. The stock market jump has certainly helped move the numbers up, but the majority of the yellow bars are made up of home equities. Higher household net worth translates into higher consumer confidence and increased consumer spending.

 

GDP Growth = Job Creations (8 million lost, 10 million gained)

Going hand-in-hand with increased household net worth is the increase in total jobs, again exceeding the peak year of 2007. The jobs added during this recovery are more service-based and do not have the same buying power as those in the past, but with so many dual income families, the combined incomes create buying power for housing. Michigan as a whole may lag compared to the national averages in these two areas, but Washtenaw should actually exceed the national averages.

 

Young Adult Homeownership Rate (under 35 years old)

The young adult homeownership rate is one of the biggest challenges for housing growth. With tough lending standards, slow job growth and high student loan debt, young adults have a hard time getting financed. As lending standards move back to more reasonable levels, some of that first time home buyer pent-up demand will be released, moving that ownership percentage closer to 40%.

 

Homeowner households have not grown since 2006, but are primed to grow.

This chart clearly illustrates the effect of the housing bubble. After 20 years of growth in the number of homeowners in the U.S., we have been at a standstill for the last six years. Most economists expect the homeownership numbers to resume their growth, but probably at a slower pace than in the past. Much of that future growth is in former homeowners, who were forced to Rent, and hope to buy again the first chance they get.

 

National Housing Forecast

Overall, we are carrying an improved listing inventory, good economic momentum and some evidence that there is still some pent-up demand out there along with the prospects of continued affordable interest rates. The skies look good going into 2015 for stable and steady growth in the Washtenaw real estate market.

 

Please keep me in mind for any of your real estate needs. I am happy to assist you.

 

 

 

tom stachler is a real estate broker working and living in the ann arbor and saline michigan markets.  check with him when looking for ann arbor homes for sale or saline michigan homes for sale as well.  

ann arbor and saline real estate market update for january 2015

2014 Year End Real Estate Market Update and Pricing Trends

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

There were no dramatic changes for the housing market in November and the first part of December. The median sale price increases in the last 90 days have been modest at under 2%, however the real value increase has been closer to 4%. The difference being that with a slowing upper price market, median values will tend to be lower than the true appreciation rate. The Month's Supply of Inventory (MSI) has been declining, with a small jump in November, a sign that although inventories are rising, demand is still strong. Sold properties have been rising through the fall season, but slowing in November compared to last year. Some of that decline might be weather-related and the fact there was one less business day in November this year. The slower sold pace does reinforce our feeling that the market is settling down to a more normal pace, especially in the over $500,000 segments. With buyers spread out among more listings, many sellers will feel that the market is slower than it really is. 

These charts from the National Association of Realtors focus on some of the underlying economic trends that should translate into a multi-year real estate recovery.

 

Household Net Worth at All-Time High 

 

Most people do not realize how far household net worth has risen from the bottom of the recession, and that it has exceeded the prior 2007 peak. The stock market jump has certainly helped move the numbers up, but the majority of the yellow bars are made up of Home equities. Higher household net worth translates into higher consumer confidence and increased consumer spending.

 

GDP Growth = Job Creations (8 million lost, 10 million gained)

Going hand-in-hand with increased household net worth is the increase in total jobs, again exceeding the peak year of 2007. The jobs added during this recovery are more service-based and do not have the same Buying power as those in the past, but with so many dual income families, the combined incomes create buying power for housing. Michigan as a whole may lag compared to the national averages in these two areas, but Washtenaw should actually exceed the national averages.

 

Young Adult Homeownership Rate (under 35 years old)

The young adult homeownership rate is one of the biggest challenges for housing growth. With tough lending standards, slow job growth and high student loan debt, young adults have a hard time getting financed. As lending standards move back to more reasonable levels, some of that first time home buyer pent-up demand will be released, moving that ownership percentage closer to 40%.

 

Homeowner households have not grown since 2006, but are primed to grow.

This chart clearly illustrates the effect of the housing bubble. After 20 years of growth in the number of homeowners in the U.S., we have been at a standstill for the last six years. Most economists expect the homeownership numbers to resume their growth, but probably at a slower pace than in the past. Much of that future growth is in former homeowners, who were forced to Rent, and hope to buy again the first chance they get.

 

National Housing Forecast

Overall, we are carrying an improved listing inventory, good economic momentum and some evidence that there is still some pent-up demand out there along with the prospects of continued affordable interest rates. The skies look good going into 2015 for stable and steady growth in the Washtenaw real estate market.

 

Please keep me in mind for any of your real estate needs. I am happy to assist you.

 

 

 

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The Importance of Seller Disclosures

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

The decision to sell a house is filled with important things to know about. One of those items is the importance of seller disclosures. The state and federal laws regarding those disclosures are strict. A buyer cannot see what is behind the walls of a house that they are interested in, so it is necessary that the sellers are honest about the condition of the Home. Follow these tips to help make the disclosure process as easy as possible:

  • One of the first things that a real estate agent will do when selling your home is to give you a Real Estate Disclosure Statement. This statement asks you to disclose items like lead, asbestos, radon and other toxic substances.
  • While the form asks you to disclose issues like lead or radon, it does not require you to test for those substances. It is important to remember that the buyer's lender always has the right to request proof of testing.
  • You are required to fill out the forms yourself. Your real estate professional cannot fill out the forms for you, but they can provide assistance with helping you understand what each item is asking for.
  • It is always best to fill out the form as completely as possible. Putting too much information is always better than not putting enough information. It is also important to remember that while the form has an "I don't know" box, it is best not to check that box unless you really have no idea. Having a home inspection is sometimes the best way to feel confident about filling out the form.
  • Be sure to keep all work orders and reports to share with potential buyers.

If you've never considered the importance of seller disclosures before, consider how you would feel if a seller didn't inform you about major issues with a home that you were Buying. This is one place in the real estate market where trust is crucial.

Pending Home Sales Increase in March

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

The recent downturn in the economy affected many sectors of the business world. The real estate market was no exception. After a stagnant market, real estate professionals were pleased to see pending Home sales increase in March. This came after a nine month lull where the market saw no gains.

According the Nationals Association of Realtors, the Pending Homes Sales Index rose 3.4%. This index is the leading indicator for national pending sales. A pending sale occurs when the contract has been signed, but the deal has not yet moved to closing. Most often the sale is closed within a month or two of the contract being signed. The Pending Homes Sales Index is based upon a large national sample, which usually represents approximately 20% of all existing home sales.

This 3.4% gain is still approximately 7.9% below where pending sales where in March of 2013. Pending sales being under where they were a year ago was observed all across the country. Sales were down 10.1% in the Midwest and 5.3% in the South compared to a year ago. The dismal winter was concerned to be part of the reason for the gain in pending sales. More people were starting to get out and more homes were beginning to go on the market. Sales activity is expected to continue to rise as more inventory comes onto the market and financial confidence continues to improve.

Home sales are expected to exceed 4.9 million this year, down from 5.1 million in 2013, and limited inventory is expected to cause home values to rise between 6 and 7%. Analysts predict that now is a great time to place a house for sale.

Seeing the pending home sales increase in March gives many people in the real estate industry confidence that the rest of the spring and summer market will follow.

Recent Real Estate Market Report

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

April sales took a nice jump, gaining back some of the delayed sales from January through March. Although spring sales are moving up, the combination of fewer homes to purchase and reduced Buying power will keep sales from making up all of the decline we saw in the first quarter (compared to last year). We still see 2014 as a strong real estate year across all markets and price ranges, however about 5-7% down from last year in terms of total homes sold.

One of the biggest logs in the dam holding back a flood of new listings is the seller’s “Move Up Spiral.” With many homes selling quickly, sellers are afraid to put their Home on the market until they find a home to buy to avoid an intermediate move. Imagine if all sellers held back for that reason, there would be very few, if any, homes to purchase. On the other hand, if all of those sellers let us know of their intent to sell (even if they did not specifically put their home on the market), our matchmaking skills would take over, creating additional sales and breaking up the log jam. We do see this now, with about 10% or more of our sales “creative,” meaning transactions where the properties were not specifically on the market.

We have successfully used sales contracts with extended closing and occupancy dates to give sellers more time to look for a home and many sellers are arranging for an interim move. Although not convenient, it does give sellers certainty. Our most successful strategy has been simply reaching out to homeowners in targeted areas via mail, social media or even door to door with messages about the new home needs of our sellers (aka hesitant buyers) to find that other reluctant seller whose home fits our clients’ needs. 

One area to watch is some creeping overconfidence on the part of some sellers as a result of media and our own discussion of double-digit appreciation and bidding over asking price. Values are rising quickly and 68% of all home listings are selling in 90 days or less. However, homes are still selling on average at 96% of list price, so buyers are aggressive, but within a relatively narrow value range. Buyer activity is always the best gauge of whether a home is at the right price point. Under the current market conditions if the property is priced correctly, showing activity should be immediate and there should be at least one offer in the first 30 days (markets over $500,000 will have a slower activity pace).

Our monthly charts break down the markets by under and over $100,000 segments. If we move upstream a bit in price the differences in markets become even stronger. Here is a snapshot of the market change from April of 2013 using a $200,000 price point. Both are moving in the same general direction but at different paces: the inventory levels under $200,000 show dramatic declines, while the over $200,000 is more modest. A buyer looking in either segment will experience some inventory frustration.

I am happy to announce that my brokerage ranked #8 in the nation in number of transactions for 2013 as well as #1 in Michigan. 

Thank you very much for your business and support!

 

National Existing Homes Sales the Strongest in 7 Years

by Tom Stachler,ABR,CDPE - Group One Realty Team

There is some good news for individuals who are currently trying to sell their Home. According to recent statistics, home sales are now the strongest they've been in the last seven years. While the national real estate market has clearly gone through some tough times since the 2008 recession began, there is some pent-up demand for home sales that is fueling a slow but steady recovery. Record low interest rates and a slight rise in resales this past December show that those who are currently trying to sell a property have a considerable chance at finding a buyer in the coming months. 

Home sales in 2013 show that home sales of existing homes have been the strongest in 7 years, which is bringing some optimism to the real estate industry as a sign that the market is gaining health. Home resales rose through December, as was expected according to a poll of economists given by Reuters earlier in 2013. Although resales had gone down due to increases in the interest rates of mortgages, there has been some new development activity among builders that shows that the demand for properties is out there despite multi-decade lows in household formation.

The obstacles that the housing market still faces include rising prices in combination with the fact that incomes do not seem to be growing proportionally across the country. Despite the fact that home sales were the strongest in 2013 that they have been in seven years, the median price for an existing home has risen alarming– by almost 10 percent– between December of 2012 and December of 2013. 

The rise in home prices can be attributed to the fact that there is a shortage of available homes on the market. Due to market uncertainty, many homeowners who would otherwise put their homes up for sale are reluctant to attempt to find a buyer. The number of unsold properties on the market has fallen significantly over the last few months, and scarcity in available prices is contributing to rises in home values.

However, the pick-up in the market that was shown in 2013 will hopefully continue and encourage would-be sellers to put their homes up for sale. Ideally, this will lead to a stabilization of home prices across the country. 

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